Macro & Fundamentals

Reports covering Fed policy, real rates, USDA supply/demand data, central bank flows, and global macro drivers.

● Topic Archive

Macro & Fundamentals

Fed policy, real interest rates, USDA supply/demand estimates, central bank reserve flows, and global macro drivers.

Understanding Gold Before Assessing its Price Outlook

Gold has fallen 25.73% since the onset of the West Asia conflict, challenging its traditional safe-haven status. We explore how de-dollarization, elevated real yields, central bank demand, and a strengthening US dollar are reshaping gold’s outlook across bull, base, and bear scenarios.

What next for the US Dollar Index (DXY)?

DXY has rallied 3.64% off its 97.592 support since May, backed by fresh long positioning rather than short covering. We break down the near-term, medium-term and long-term drivers - from the Fed’s hawkish dot plot to the risk of BoJ intervention on the yen.